| Introduction to Probabilistic Analysis and Design |
| This course is intended for engineers, scientists, and technical managers who are concerned with managing uncertainty and risk of structural, mechanical and other engineering systems, and desire to become familiar with the background and the use of state-of-the-art probabilistic methods. The four hour course will include the motivation, methods, and tools for probabilistic analysis and design. These methods are applicable to a wide range of problems and allow the analyst to quantify the reliability and identify the important variables in their design by systematically accounting for variations and uncertainties. These results provide decision makers additional information for decisions involving certification, fleet management, and condition based maintenance. The course will use examples relevant to aircraft airworthiness and sustainment such as determining the reliability for crack growth in a structural component for a specified design life. This course will also include an introduction to the NESSUS® probabilistic analysis software developed by Southwest Research Institute®. Participants will receive access to a time-limited version of NESSUS. |
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